Pre-tourney Rankings
Fresno St.
Mountain West
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.8#99
Expected Predictive Rating+2.4#133
Pace60.3#307
Improvement+4.3#29

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#217
Improvement+2.3#69

Defense
Total Defense+6.4#32
Improvement+2.0#71
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 88   @ Texas L 53-55 35%     0 - 1 +6.7 -4.9 +11.2
  Nov 14, 2012 291   @ UC Riverside W 39-30 82%     1 - 1 +3.9 -24.1 +29.8
  Nov 16, 2012 115   Pacific W 66-61 67%     2 - 1 +5.3 -3.7 +9.3
  Nov 19, 2012 132   @ Cal Poly W 76-67 47%     3 - 1 +14.6 +11.3 +4.2
  Nov 25, 2012 142   Long Beach St. L 61-69 73%     3 - 2 -9.6 -13.8 +4.0
  Nov 28, 2012 161   @ Southern Illinois L 54-57 55%     3 - 3 +0.5 -5.8 +5.6
  Dec 03, 2012 142   @ Long Beach St. W 64-59 50%     4 - 3 +9.8 -2.6 +12.9
  Dec 09, 2012 91   @ Washington St. L 50-59 36%     4 - 4 -0.5 -17.8 +17.0
  Dec 12, 2012 45   Colorado L 43-50 42%     4 - 5 -0.1 -19.8 +19.0
  Dec 15, 2012 135   UC Irvine L 51-58 71%     4 - 6 -8.1 -19.0 +10.7
  Dec 22, 2012 40   @ UCLA L 78-91 20%     4 - 7 +0.8 +12.7 -12.0
  Jan 09, 2013 28   San Diego St. L 62-65 34%     4 - 8 0 - 1 +6.1 +5.6 +0.1
  Jan 12, 2013 16   @ New Mexico L 45-72 13%     4 - 9 0 - 2 -10.0 -16.0 +4.9
  Jan 16, 2013 89   Wyoming W 49-36 60%     5 - 9 1 - 2 +15.2 -7.2 +26.1
  Jan 19, 2013 149   Nevada L 61-68 75%     5 - 10 1 - 3 -9.4 -10.2 +0.3
  Jan 23, 2013 47   @ Boise St. L 67-74 21%     5 - 11 1 - 4 +6.3 +4.3 +1.4
  Jan 26, 2013 24   Colorado St. L 63-74 32%     5 - 12 1 - 5 -1.6 -5.7 +3.5
  Jan 30, 2013 85   @ Air Force L 50-62 34%     5 - 13 1 - 6 -3.1 -15.4 +10.4
  Feb 06, 2013 31   UNLV W 64-55 35%     6 - 13 2 - 6 +17.7 +1.9 +16.3
  Feb 09, 2013 28   @ San Diego St. L 53-75 16%     6 - 14 2 - 7 -6.4 -7.4 +0.1
  Feb 13, 2013 16   New Mexico L 48-54 29%     6 - 15 2 - 8 +4.6 -8.9 +12.3
  Feb 16, 2013 89   @ Wyoming L 51-55 OT 35%     6 - 16 2 - 9 +4.6 -12.9 +17.2
  Feb 19, 2013 149   @ Nevada W 69-64 OT 53%     7 - 16 3 - 9 +9.1 -2.9 +12.0
  Feb 23, 2013 47   Boise St. L 63-72 42%     7 - 17 3 - 10 -2.2 -1.2 -2.0
  Feb 27, 2013 24   @ Colorado St. L 67-74 15%     7 - 18 3 - 11 +8.9 +3.2 +5.2
  Mar 02, 2013 85   Air Force W 56-41 59%     8 - 18 4 - 11 +17.4 -6.8 +27.9
  Mar 09, 2013 31   @ UNLV W 61-52 16%     9 - 18 5 - 11 +24.2 +5.4 +19.7
  Mar 13, 2013 24   Colorado St. L 61-67 23%     9 - 19 +6.7 +0.9 +4.8
Projected Record 9.0 - 19.0 5.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11 100.0% 100.0
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%